For various reasons, I did not watch nearly as much college basketball this year as I have in previous years and have not spent as much time tape scouting as I have in past years. I am a big believer that if you have not sat down and done the tape work yourself, you shouldn’t…
Big boards look far, far, far too much alike, with way too much consensus from top to bottom. In NFL Draft circles, it’s not uncommon for differences of opinions spanning multiple rounds. That is what would be expected – projecting the career paths of young players who have never played professional sports is extremely inexact….
I spend a lot of my time reviewing the draft analyzing league trends, previous drafts, projections of previous drafts from myself and others, and just generally trying to ensure that the theory behind the projection matches up with what is going on in the league. I started doing player projection and did my first theory…
In Everything’s Different in the Adult World (2016), I wrote about the difference between college basketball and the NBA and why those differences made it so difficult to scout players and project how they will transition to the NBA. Five years later, college basketball has changed little, while the NBA has continued to push deeper…
This year’s draft series is going to be a little different than in the past for one simple reason: I am not ranking the prospects this year. If you are the type of draftnik who is only interested in lists of players, this is not the draft series for you. I have now been doing…
Three notes: I only scouted and projected players who played NCAA D1 Basketball in the 2019-2020 season. The top of this draft has many players who did not play NCAA Basketball. They are omitted only because I did not scout them, and I have no opinion on them. Major conference prospects in bold, mid-major prospects…
For over a decade, analysts and journalists have fretted over the possibility that all basketball teams will start to play the exact same style, making a completely homogeneous game in which every game plays out the same way. That possibility is now a reality. In the 2010-2011 season, teams averaged 18.0 3PA/game, a .222 3PA…
My 2019 NFL Draft Series was written for The Painted Lines. Part 1, The Chain of Offense Part 2, Modern NFL Systems Part 3, Grading the Prospects
Introduction to the 2019 Big Board Four notes: I only scouted and projected players who played at least one season in college. I have no opinion on Doumbouya, Bitadze, Samanic, Bazley, and other players who did not play in college. Major conference prospects in bold, mid-major prospects in italics, low major prospects in plain text….
King Arthur had the Holy Grail. Ahab had his white whale. I have the Perfect Big Board. Now, to most people, the Perfect Big Board would be getting every prospect correct in the right order. That is an impossible dream. No, the Perfect Big Board is one that accurately conveys all the information it seeks…