The 2019 NBA Draft Big Board

Introduction to the 2019 Big Board Four notes: I only scouted and projected players who played at least one season in college. I have no opinion on Doumbouya, Bitadze, Samanic, Bazley, and other players who did not play in college. Major conference prospects in bold, mid-major prospects in italics, low major prospects in plain text….

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Introduction to the 2019 Big Board

King Arthur had the Holy Grail. Ahab had his white whale. I have the Perfect Big Board. Now, to most people, the Perfect Big Board would be getting every prospect correct in the right order. That is an impossible dream. No, the Perfect Big Board is one that accurately conveys all the information it seeks…

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Draft Theory: Leftover Food for Thought

There are a few things I wanted to cover but did not have enough material for a full article. These things are as important as the ones getting their own articles, they’re just not going to take as long to explain. Let’s dive right in. Injury Risk I covered injury risk to some extent in…

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Draft Theory: There Are Levels To This Game

The title quote comes from current UFC heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier, one of the greatest MMA fighters of all time. He said it to remind people that there exists a massive gulf between the truly elite and the hot prospects who look great but haven’t faced the top level of competition, even if it’s impossible…

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Draft Theory: On Patience and Probability

Unknown probabilities are a finicky thing. But to approach the NBA Draft without an understanding of probabilities is to fail right from the start. There are no 100% or 0% probabilities when it comes to the NBA Draft. Using words like “guaranteed” or “always” or “never” should be completely refrained from. The tricky thing about…

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Draft Theory: On Age, Development, and Value

In 2017, I did significant research into age and development curves. I have continued to do the necessary research each year just to confirm the initial findings. At the outset, let me state that I do not rank, analyze, or in any other way deal with international prospects. As such, the vast majority of this research…

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Draft Theory: The Past, The Present, The Future

I have been projecting the NBA Draft since 2014. Each year, I update my methodology to try to more accurately predict the draft. However, the base principle remains the same: look at the players who are currently successful and unsuccessful in the NBA, look at how they played in college, then find players who match…

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