2021 Draft Theory: A Review of a Few

For various reasons, I did not watch nearly as much college basketball this year as I have in previous years and have not spent as much time tape scouting as I have in past years. I am a big believer that if you have not sat down and done the tape work yourself, you shouldn’t…

Continue reading

2021 Draft Theory: The March Madness Theory of Player Projection

Big boards look far, far, far too much alike, with way too much consensus from top to bottom. In NFL Draft circles, it’s not uncommon for differences of opinions spanning multiple rounds. That is what would be expected – projecting the career paths of young players who have never played professional sports is extremely inexact….

Continue reading

2021 Draft Theory: How Fast Things Change

I spend a lot of my time reviewing the draft analyzing league trends, previous drafts, projections of previous drafts from myself and others, and just generally trying to ensure that the theory behind the projection matches up with what is going on in the league. I started doing player projection and did my first theory…

Continue reading

2021 Draft Theory: Three Different Sports

In Everything’s Different in the Adult World (2016), I wrote about the difference between college basketball and the NBA and why those differences made it so difficult to scout players and project how they will transition to the NBA. Five years later, college basketball has changed little, while the NBA has continued to push deeper…

Continue reading

2021 Draft Theory: Introduction

This year’s draft series is going to be a little different than in the past for one simple reason: I am not ranking the prospects this year. If you are the type of draftnik who is only interested in lists of players, this is not the draft series for you.  I have now been doing…

Continue reading